Stack layers
Contested layers: 5 Domain platforms; 6 Workflow, agents and orchestration
Adjacent layers: 1 Physical and energy foundations; 4 Models and intelligence
Contest dimensions
- Robot intelligence
- Manufacturing
- Deployment
- Cost of work
Participants
Robot makers
- Hyundai / Boston Dynamics (Challenger): Atlas training center at Hyundai's Georgia plant; 25,000 Atlas robots planned (September 21, 2026)
- Tesla (Challenger): reported Optimus output of several hundred a week, aiming for more than 1,000 a week by year-end; not confirmed by Tesla (reported September 2026)
- Figure AI (Challenger): last valued at $39 billion (September 2025); NVIDIA reported to have discussed a further $1 billion investment (October 7, 2026)
- SoftBank (ABB Robotics) (Incumbent): agreed to buy ABB's robotics business for $5.375 billion (October 2025); closing expected mid-to-late 2026, pending regulatory approvals
Robot intelligence and industrial software
- NVIDIA (Incumbent): robot models and simulation tools introduced at GTC (March 2026), used by ABB, FANUC, KUKA and Yaskawa
- Siemens (Incumbent): building an Industrial AI Operating System with NVIDIA, starting at its Erlangen electronics factory (January 2026)
- Physical Intelligence (Challenger): general-purpose robot AI; in talks to raise at an $11 billion valuation (March 2026)
Operators
- Amazon (Incumbent): $100M+ Indiana plant making products for its fulfillment and robotics network (September 24, 2026); has built more than one million robots in the U.S.
Ecosystem Moves
How the players are building, buying and partnering to compete in this battleground. Newest first.
2 Build · 1 Buy · 2 Partner · 0 Compete
- NVIDIA / Figure AI
talks on a further $1B investment (reported)
- Amazon
$100M+ Indiana plant supporting its fulfillment and robotics network
- Hyundai / Boston Dynamics
Atlas training center at the Georgia Metaplant
- Siemens / NVIDIA
Industrial AI Operating System, starting at Erlangen
- SoftBank / ABB
agreement to acquire ABB Robotics for $5.375B (closing pending)
Sources
- https://bostondynamics.com/news/boston-dynamics-opens-robotics-metaplant-application-center-to-train-humanoid-robots-for-manufacturing-tasks/
- https://press.aboutamazon.com/job-creation-and-investment/2026/9/amazon-to-create-300-high-paying-jobs-at-new-advanced-manufacturing-facility-in-greenwood-indiana
- https://www.analyticsinsight.net/news/tesla-optimus-production-hits-hundreds-weekly-hands-remain-challenge
- https://www.humanoidsdaily.com/news/nvidia-figure-billion-investment-talks-report
- https://group.softbank/en/news/press/20251008
- https://blogs.nvidia.com/blog/gtc-2026-virtual-worlds-physical-ai/
- https://news.siemens.com/en-us/siemens-unveils-technologies-to-accelerate-the-industrial-ai-revolution-at-ces-2026/
- https://news.bgov.com/artificial-intelligence/ai-robotics-lab-in-talks-to-nab-1-billion-at-11-billion-value
Evidence checked through:
